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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.66+1.55vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.61+0.65vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.60+1.06vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-0.60vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Tufts University1.980.4%1st Place
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3.55Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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3.65Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.06Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.4Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.0%1st Place
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2.26Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 39.5% | 29.8% | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 10.9% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 9.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.3% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 24.5% | 22.8% | 9.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 22.6% | 52.7% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 4.4% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 28.4% | 26.9% |
| Everett Nash | 32.1% | 29.5% | 23.1% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.