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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.07vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+0.24vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09+1.29vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.60+1.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.66-1.34vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.61-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Tufts University1.980.4%1st Place
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2.24Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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4.29Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.1%1st Place
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5.06Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.66Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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3.69Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 37.9% | 32.6% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Everett Nash | 34.3% | 28.9% | 20.4% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 20.4% | 30.0% | 23.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 54.3% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 9.5% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 22.5% | 21.1% | 11.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 9.7% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 23.3% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.