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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.05vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.60+3.05vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79-0.80vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.61-0.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.66-1.28vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Tufts University1.980.4%1st Place
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5.05Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.2Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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3.64Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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3.72Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 39.6% | 31.7% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 54.2% |
| Everett Nash | 34.7% | 28.8% | 22.7% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.4% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 26.4% | 21.6% | 9.4% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 8.1% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 23.5% | 23.0% | 11.2% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 4.8% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 31.0% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.