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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.67vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.44+0.60vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.69+0.98vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.26-1.00vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-3.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.85-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.6Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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3.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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6.0SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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6.78Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 16.5% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| George Prieto | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Gowell | 19.6% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Crane | 19.8% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 10.5% |
| William Pilling | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 22.7% | 34.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 14.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.