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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.85+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.17+2.32vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.57+1.98vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.91+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.34-0.49vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.64-3.04vs Predicted
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7Case Western Reserve University-0.48-2.03vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.22-0.18vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-2.73-0.49vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.80-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of Michigan0.8530.9%1st Place
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4.32University of Michigan-0.1710.9%1st Place
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4.98Purdue University-0.578.0%1st Place
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5.67Grand Valley State University-0.916.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Notre Dame-0.349.6%1st Place
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2.96Ohio State University0.6423.8%1st Place
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4.97Case Western Reserve University-0.488.0%1st Place
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7.82Miami University-2.221.2%1st Place
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8.51Saint Mary's College-2.730.7%1st Place
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8.68Michigan State University-2.801.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Visco | 30.9% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
John McCalmont | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Dylan Mullan | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
Reed Rossell | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
Andrew Molinsky | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Emma Hershey | 23.8% | 23.7% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jordi Malaret | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Bittner | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 23.2% | 28.3% | 19.1% |
Charlotte McIlnay | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 15.9% | 29.0% | 36.9% |
AUSTIN SJAARDA | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 14.8% | 28.1% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.