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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.06vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.60+3.04vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79-0.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.66-0.43vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-0.59vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.61-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Tufts University1.980.4%1st Place
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5.04Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.21Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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3.57Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.0%1st Place
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3.71Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 39.2% | 31.3% | 17.6% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 53.0% |
| Everett Nash | 34.0% | 29.1% | 23.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 10.5% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 25.1% | 21.8% | 8.0% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 4.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 29.0% | 27.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 9.5% | 11.9% | 20.9% | 23.9% | 23.4% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.