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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+1.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+0.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.66+0.57vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.61-0.35vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-0.63vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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2.02Tufts University1.980.4%1st Place
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3.57Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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3.65Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.37Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.1%1st Place
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5.12Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 29.8% | 33.5% | 21.5% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 42.9% | 27.2% | 18.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 11.0% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 24.9% | 21.8% | 8.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 8.9% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 24.6% | 22.5% | 8.9% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 28.7% | 25.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 21.2% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.