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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+5.38vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.32+8.54vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+3.29vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+3.74vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+2.48vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.28+0.73vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+1.96vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.39-1.67vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.08-1.62vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.43+0.18vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-4.40vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.15-0.76vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.34-6.59vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96+2.11vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.55-2.18vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-6.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-4.21vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.76-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.29Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.74Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.33Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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16.11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.82Maine Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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17.04Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 42.9% | 27.0% |
| Kevin Carse | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Derry | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 19.8% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.