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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.66vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+1.29vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.44-0.53vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.50vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.26-0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.69-0.99vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.85-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.66U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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3.47Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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3.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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5.94SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| George Prieto | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Wick Dudley | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Gowell | 19.8% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Crane | 21.0% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 9.5% |
| William Pilling | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 21.6% | 35.6% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.