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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.45+5.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.28+4.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+3.31vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.32+6.19vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98+2.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.39+0.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+0.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69+0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.34-2.50vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36-3.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.43-0.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-1.75vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.15-2.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.08-6.67vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.55-2.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-3.24vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.78vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.76-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.92Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.86Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.88Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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12.87Maine Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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12.76Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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16.22Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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17.05Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Will Glasson | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Carse | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 11.1% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.1% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 43.3% | 29.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 20.7% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.