← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.28+5.80vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.45+4.24vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.08+4.56vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.39+2.23vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.69+3.71vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.98+1.75vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.34-0.57vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.06-0.60vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.46-2.99vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.15+0.95vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy0.47+1.98vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.32-1.57vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.73-1.04vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.36-7.84vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-5.32vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.62-3.39vs Predicted
-
17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.88vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-1.76-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.8Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
-
6.24Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.56Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
-
6.23Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
-
8.71Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.75Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
6.43University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.4Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
6.01Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
10.95Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
-
12.98Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
-
10.43Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
11.96Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
-
6.16Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
12.61Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
16.12Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
-
17.0Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Collins | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 3.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 41.3% | 28.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 20.5% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.