← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.39+5.48vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.45+4.20vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.28+3.79vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.36+2.29vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.69+3.68vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.34+0.45vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.06+0.43vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.73+4.08vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.08-1.70vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.32+0.35vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy0.47+2.02vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-1.99vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.46-7.04vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.62-1.80vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College-1.76+2.12vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.15-5.15vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University1.98-9.20vs Predicted
-
18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.48Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
-
6.2Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.79Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
-
6.29Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.68Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.45University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.43Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
12.08Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
-
7.3Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
-
10.35Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
13.02Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
-
10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
5.96Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
12.2Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
17.12Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
-
10.85Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.8Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
15.99Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Collins | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 18.5% | 66.8% |
| Will Glasson | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 10.6% | 43.1% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.