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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+3.81vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+5.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.67+5.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+0.78vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.66+6.63vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.70+5.63vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.73+4.49vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.87vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.26+4.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.28-0.23vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.43vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.74-3.83vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.63-4.92vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-8.25vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.20-8.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-7.58vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.37-2.15vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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8.25Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.78Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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11.49Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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13.08Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.17Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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14.85Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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17.41Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 14.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Carter Brock | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 2.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 11.0% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 40.9% | 8.4% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 6.3% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.