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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.20+5.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+6.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.70+8.86vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.63+4.11vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+2.77vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+1.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.69-2.29vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.66+3.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-4.22vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18+0.15vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-2.53vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-2.23vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40+4.45vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.28-4.74vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.37-0.24vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.26-2.88vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.29-10.94vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.73-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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8.26Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.77Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.06Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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4.71Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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4.78Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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17.45Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.76Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.12Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| William Bailey | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Mason Stang | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 8.1% | 83.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 39.0% | 8.4% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 3.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 12.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.