← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.95+6.31vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.28+7.81vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.69+1.84vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.74+3.80vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.20+1.23vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.63+2.30vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.63-2.13vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.67+0.04vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.96+1.74vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.31-0.28vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.66+0.87vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.73-0.05vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.69vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.18-4.28vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.26-1.92vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-0.37-1.18vs Predicted
-
17Brown University2.29-10.85vs Predicted
-
18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.31Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
-
9.81Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
4.84Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
-
7.8Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.23University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
-
8.3Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
4.87Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.04Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
-
10.74Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
-
9.72Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.87Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
-
11.95Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
-
8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
-
9.72Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
13.08Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.82Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.15Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
17.42Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bedford | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 14.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 1.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carter Brock | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 2.5% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 39.5% | 8.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.