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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+3.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.44+0.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+1.42vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.30-1.18vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.26-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.69+0.05vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-3.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.85-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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3.57Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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3.82Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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5.94SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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4.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 13.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 14.3% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Gowell | 20.4% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Reilly | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 9.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.1% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| William Pilling | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 35.4% |
| Wick Dudley | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.