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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+8.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+4.34vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.96+7.98vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.63+4.23vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.69-0.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-1.14vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+0.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+0.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.66+2.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-3.85vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.26+2.19vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.74-3.75vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-3.18vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.67-6.10vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.56vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-1.18vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.73-5.29vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.79Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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4.86Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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11.83Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.19Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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8.25Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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7.9Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.44Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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14.82Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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17.42Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Moffitt | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 1.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Caulfield | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 3.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 39.6% | 8.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 6.8% | 84.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.