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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+8.73vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+5.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+3.36vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+5.78vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.69-0.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+2.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63+1.23vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+1.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-3.15vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-1.94vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-6.09vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.77-0.29vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.67-5.02vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.26-1.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.70-3.37vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.66-4.10vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.37-2.18vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.73Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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4.63Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.39Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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5.85Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.06Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.91Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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7.98Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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12.82Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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14.82Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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17.4Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Farina | 18.7% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 1.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 1.4% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 39.0% | 8.5% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.