← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.29+5.13vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.63+2.98vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.69+1.79vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.20+2.15vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.77+6.31vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.63+2.28vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.74+0.87vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.95-0.98vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.28+0.58vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.18+0.18vs Predicted
-
11Yale University1.67-2.69vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy0.26+1.35vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.70-1.48vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.31-4.86vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.66-3.28vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-7.56vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-0.37-2.19vs Predicted
-
18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.13Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.98Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
4.79Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.15University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
-
11.31Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
8.28Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.87Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.02Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
-
9.58Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
10.18Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.31Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
-
13.35Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
11.52Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
-
9.14Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.72Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
-
8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
-
14.81Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
-
17.42Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 38.3% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.9% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.