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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+1.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.56vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.93-1.25vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63-1.88vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28George Washington University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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2.75Cornell University1.930.2%1st Place
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3.12Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.28Old Dominion University1.520.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Timms | 36.5% | 25.7% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Jack Carminati | 9.7% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 33.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 22.3% | 24.0% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 13.1% |
| Brian Fox | 15.9% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 23.8% | 20.1% |
| John Glenn | 15.6% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 24.6% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.