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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.54vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63+0.14vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35-1.72vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.93-2.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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3.14Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.28George Washington University2.350.4%1st Place
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2.76Cornell University1.930.2%1st Place
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3.28Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 35.1% |
| Brian Fox | 15.1% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 20.8% |
| Owen Timms | 35.9% | 24.5% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 5.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 23.4% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 12.3% |
| John Glenn | 14.5% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.