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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.54vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63+0.14vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35-1.71vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-1.76vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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3.14Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.29George Washington University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.24Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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2.79Cornell University1.930.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 11.9% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 34.3% |
| Brian Fox | 15.3% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 23.5% | 20.8% |
| Owen Timms | 35.8% | 24.6% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 5.7% |
| John Glenn | 14.3% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 24.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 22.7% | 22.3% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.