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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Cornell University1.93+0.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.53vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35-1.71vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63-1.91vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Cornell University1.930.2%1st Place
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3.53U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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2.29George Washington University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.09Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.29Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 23.4% | 21.3% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| Jack Carminati | 10.3% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 24.9% | 31.9% |
| Owen Timms | 36.2% | 24.7% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Brian Fox | 15.4% | 22.3% | 20.3% | 21.9% | 20.1% |
| John Glenn | 14.7% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 23.7% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.