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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Cornell University1.93+0.78vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35-0.72vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.63-0.87vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-1.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.29-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Cornell University1.930.2%1st Place
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2.28George Washington University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.13Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.27Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 23.6% | 22.4% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| Owen Timms | 34.7% | 26.0% | 21.4% | 12.8% | 5.1% |
| Brian Fox | 16.3% | 18.7% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| John Glenn | 13.5% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 23.1% | 24.7% |
| Jack Carminati | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 24.6% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.