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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+1.29vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+0.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.46vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63-1.87vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29George Washington University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.26Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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3.13Christopher Newport University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.78Cornell University1.930.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Timms | 35.8% | 27.2% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| John Glenn | 13.3% | 18.7% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 24.3% |
| Jack Carminati | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 33.9% |
| Brian Fox | 16.7% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 23.0% | 20.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 22.5% | 22.0% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.