Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John McCalmont 10.3% 12.4% 15.4% 16.2% 15.0% 13.2% 11.1% 4.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Emma Hershey 24.1% 22.6% 18.4% 16.0% 10.2% 6.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Visco 32.6% 22.8% 19.3% 13.1% 6.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordi Malaret 8.6% 10.0% 11.2% 12.3% 14.8% 16.2% 15.9% 7.1% 3.6% 0.4%
Elizabeth Bittner 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 3.9% 6.3% 10.6% 24.9% 28.8% 17.6%
Reed Rossell 5.5% 6.5% 8.7% 9.4% 12.5% 16.2% 19.1% 14.5% 6.0% 1.5%
Andrew Molinsky 8.6% 11.7% 11.3% 15.2% 17.2% 15.0% 12.3% 7.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Dylan Mullan 7.3% 10.2% 11.1% 11.5% 14.1% 15.9% 16.2% 10.2% 3.4% 0.2%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 3.6% 5.9% 14.9% 27.0% 40.8%
Charlotte McIlnay 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 6.1% 15.6% 28.3% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.