Race 8 - tom-curtis | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.7

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Brian Fox & Julia Burns

Christopher Newport University

1.63

+2.14

vs Predicted
3

J.J. Smith & Rocco Cappetta

Cornell University

1.93

-0.22

vs Predicted
4

John Glenn & Isabelle Kanach

Old Dominion University

1.52

-0.73

vs Predicted
5

Jack Carminati & Catherine Aitken

U. S. Naval Academy

1.29

-1.49

vs Predicted
6

Owen Timms & Genevieve Mumma

George Washington University

2.35

-3.70

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.14

Brian Fox & Julia Burns

Christopher Newport University

1.63

0.2%

1st Place
2.78

J.J. Smith & Rocco Cappetta

Cornell University

1.93

0.2%

1st Place
3.27

John Glenn & Isabelle Kanach

Old Dominion University

1.52

0.1%

1st Place
3.51

Jack Carminati & Catherine Aitken

U. S. Naval Academy

1.29

0.1%

1st Place
2.3

Owen Timms & Genevieve Mumma

George Washington University

2.35

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Brian Fox	17.1%	18.8%	19.1%	22.6%	22.4%
J.J. Smith	22.2%	23.3%	21.9%	20.0%	12.6%
John Glenn	14.9%	17.4%	19.7%	21.7%	26.3%
Jack Carminati	11.3%	13.3%	21.0%	21.9%	32.5%
Owen Timms	34.5%	27.2%	18.3%	13.8%	6.2%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.