Race 3A

women-acc-round-1a

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sophia Reineke 13.5% 14.1% 16.7% 9.7% 9.7% 7.9% 5.5% 7.0% 5.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.6% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 2.7% 4.8% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 4.7% 4.3% 6.1% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 8.9% 9.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.5%
Maddie Hawkins 16.2% 12.6% 13.4% 11.2% 9.6% 10.9% 8.6% 5.6% 4.2% 2.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Michelle Lahrkamp 10.7% 13.3% 9.4% 11.7% 10.0% 9.0% 9.0% 5.9% 6.2% 3.9% 5.2% 2.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Carmen Cowles 9.7% 9.7% 8.8% 11.1% 8.3% 9.3% 7.0% 7.7% 6.5% 6.9% 5.6% 3.8% 2.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Victroia Flatley 2.6% 1.9% 3.5% 4.3% 4.2% 4.7% 5.6% 5.4% 6.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 7.5% 10.2% 11.6% 11.3%
Emily Bornarth 8.0% 7.8% 6.3% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 7.3% 6.6% 7.2% 7.7% 6.5% 5.7% 6.2% 3.1% 3.0% 0.8%
Emma Shakespeare 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 4.6% 6.6% 4.3% 7.5% 7.5% 10.6% 14.4% 19.3%
Kiera Oreardon 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 4.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.1% 5.6% 7.9% 8.0% 10.5% 12.9% 14.4%
Katherine Bennett 4.2% 4.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 7.4% 8.8% 9.7% 10.0% 8.1% 7.0% 6.5%
Brooke Shachoy 7.0% 5.5% 4.8% 7.2% 6.9% 5.9% 5.9% 8.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.5% 8.0% 6.4% 4.6% 4.5% 1.8%
Amanda Majernik 5.4% 4.7% 5.9% 7.0% 6.0% 6.2% 8.3% 6.4% 6.0% 6.8% 7.8% 6.0% 8.3% 6.5% 4.5% 4.2%
Meghan Haviland 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 5.0% 2.9% 4.3% 5.4% 6.2% 6.4% 9.3% 10.8% 13.0% 21.9%
Jenna Probst 5.0% 4.3% 5.7% 5.3% 7.0% 6.7% 6.2% 6.8% 8.1% 7.8% 8.1% 7.4% 6.4% 7.1% 4.9% 3.2%
Ella Withington 4.0% 4.4% 3.2% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.3% 8.4% 9.7% 8.7% 4.4%
Kaila Pfrang 4.7% 5.7% 6.4% 5.4% 5.9% 6.3% 7.3% 8.6% 8.5% 7.8% 6.3% 8.5% 6.7% 5.4% 4.3% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.