Race 5A

women-acc-round-1a

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Carmen Cowles 10.0% 10.9% 10.0% 9.2% 8.8% 9.5% 7.4% 7.9% 5.3% 7.0% 4.9% 2.8% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3%
Michelle Lahrkamp 13.1% 12.4% 12.6% 9.4% 9.2% 8.4% 7.7% 6.3% 6.5% 4.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Maddie Hawkins 15.6% 14.1% 13.3% 12.0% 9.7% 9.8% 7.0% 6.1% 5.2% 2.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Ella Withington 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 5.5% 6.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.3% 7.7% 9.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.9% 5.9%
Jenna Probst 4.7% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 6.2% 5.5% 8.1% 8.3% 5.5% 7.6% 6.6% 8.8% 8.0% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 2.6% 3.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.1% 4.2% 7.4% 5.1% 6.5% 5.9% 7.0% 7.3% 9.3% 10.3% 9.3% 9.9%
Sophia Reineke 16.1% 12.7% 10.1% 12.2% 8.3% 9.4% 6.4% 8.3% 5.4% 3.4% 3.6% 1.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Kiera Oreardon 2.4% 2.7% 3.9% 2.6% 3.2% 4.8% 4.5% 5.0% 4.8% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 8.7% 11.6% 12.2% 13.9%
Amanda Majernik 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 5.8% 6.7% 5.1% 7.8% 7.8% 8.0% 9.0% 6.5% 6.0% 6.7% 5.4% 5.1% 3.7%
Meghan Haviland 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.4% 7.5% 8.9% 12.0% 14.9% 20.9%
Victroia Flatley 3.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 3.5% 5.3% 3.2% 6.1% 6.4% 7.8% 9.3% 8.8% 9.1% 11.9% 10.2%
Emma Shakespeare 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 5.8% 5.0% 5.4% 8.6% 8.8% 7.2% 13.6% 21.6%
Brooke Shachoy 4.2% 6.8% 6.8% 6.3% 7.1% 6.3% 7.0% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 7.1% 7.2% 5.8% 6.2% 4.2% 1.7%
Kaila Pfrang 5.7% 4.5% 6.4% 5.7% 7.0% 8.3% 7.5% 6.1% 9.5% 6.7% 7.8% 6.6% 7.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.2%
Emily Bornarth 6.3% 7.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.5% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.4% 6.9% 6.7% 4.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.8%
Katherine Bennett 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.0% 6.7% 6.2% 7.9% 8.7% 9.0% 7.5% 9.3% 7.6% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.