← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University-0.91+4.70vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.85+0.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.17+1.26vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame-0.34+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University0.64-2.06vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-0.57-1.05vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-2.22+0.90vs Predicted
-
8Case Western Reserve University-0.48-3.21vs Predicted
-
9Michigan State University-2.80-0.31vs Predicted
-
10Saint Mary's College-2.73-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.7Grand Valley State University-0.915.5%1st Place
-
2.63University of Michigan0.8529.6%1st Place
-
4.26University of Michigan-0.1710.9%1st Place
-
4.61University of Notre Dame-0.349.2%1st Place
-
2.94Ohio State University0.6424.0%1st Place
-
4.95Purdue University-0.578.5%1st Place
-
7.9Miami University-2.221.6%1st Place
-
4.79Case Western Reserve University-0.489.0%1st Place
-
8.69Michigan State University-2.800.9%1st Place
-
8.54Saint Mary's College-2.730.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reed Rossell | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
Ben Visco | 29.6% | 24.9% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
John McCalmont | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Andrew Molinsky | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Emma Hershey | 24.0% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Dylan Mullan | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
Elizabeth Bittner | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 25.9% | 29.9% | 17.2% |
Jordi Malaret | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 15.8% | 25.5% | 42.9% |
Charlotte McIlnay | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 17.2% | 28.1% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.