Race 9A

women-acc-round-1a

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Michelle Lahrkamp 12.4% 12.1% 12.0% 10.6% 10.3% 9.3% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 4.8% 4.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Sophia Reineke 14.9% 14.4% 12.4% 11.2% 9.3% 8.5% 7.0% 5.3% 6.5% 3.5% 2.7% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Carmen Cowles 9.7% 9.3% 9.8% 8.9% 8.1% 8.4% 9.3% 9.6% 7.6% 5.6% 4.4% 4.4% 1.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Maddie Hawkins 14.3% 14.1% 12.8% 11.9% 11.0% 7.8% 7.3% 6.0% 6.0% 3.4% 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Jenna Probst 4.1% 5.6% 3.9% 5.5% 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.6% 7.9% 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 8.3% 6.3% 2.5%
Emma Shakespeare 2.2% 1.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.0% 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 5.3% 8.5% 8.8% 15.3% 20.4%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.1% 3.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 4.1% 4.9% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 7.0% 8.1% 9.5% 10.3% 10.7% 10.2%
Kiera Oreardon 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.3% 2.9% 4.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.4% 5.1% 7.2% 7.5% 9.0% 11.0% 11.9% 14.4%
Kaila Pfrang 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 5.8% 7.2% 6.9% 6.3% 8.4% 7.3% 7.2% 8.5% 7.0% 5.8% 4.7% 4.9% 2.3%
Ella Withington 4.4% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 3.7% 6.1% 5.6% 5.8% 6.3% 8.3% 9.2% 7.8% 9.7% 9.2% 6.1% 5.1%
Emily Bornarth 7.8% 7.4% 6.8% 9.1% 6.8% 6.6% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 7.1% 8.7% 5.9% 4.1% 4.0% 1.3% 1.2%
Brooke Shachoy 5.7% 5.6% 6.0% 6.5% 7.7% 6.4% 8.3% 7.0% 5.1% 7.1% 6.4% 7.9% 7.0% 6.7% 4.0% 2.6%
Victroia Flatley 2.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.7% 6.4% 5.3% 5.8% 7.5% 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 10.7% 10.1%
Katherine Bennett 4.5% 3.5% 4.2% 3.3% 6.4% 6.5% 6.7% 5.0% 5.8% 8.7% 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 7.5% 7.7% 6.3%
Meghan Haviland 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 6.1% 6.1% 7.8% 7.4% 10.6% 14.8% 22.3%
Torrey Chisari 5.1% 4.8% 6.1% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 8.0% 7.5% 7.9% 7.2% 5.9% 8.0% 8.1% 5.8% 3.9% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.