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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.64+5.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.52+4.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.85vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+5.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-1.32vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.68vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.75+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.17+1.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.03vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.00+0.48vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.41-4.89vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.70vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.20-4.15vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.91-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02.640.1%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.85Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.68Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.11Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.4% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 18.9% |
| Emma Snead | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 28.4% |
| Berta Puig | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.