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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.93vs Predicted
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22.64+3.96vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+1.72vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+1.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.35vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.75vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+4.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.52-1.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.21vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-0.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.20-0.09vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.75-2.63vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.81vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.41-8.20vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.91-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.962.640.1%1st Place
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4.72Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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5.93Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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10.91Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Dana Haig | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 24.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 22.0% |
| Grace Squires | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 21.9% |
| Berta Puig | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.