← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.41+5.77vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+5.69vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.92+2.20vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.68vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.52+1.63vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.07-1.28vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.69-1.13vs Predicted
-
82.64-1.86vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.75+0.03vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.85vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.91-2.39vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-1.92vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.20-1.93vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.99vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.00-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.77Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
-
7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.2Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
6.63Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
4.72Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
5.87Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.142.640.1%1st Place
-
9.03College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.15University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
8.61University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
-
10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
-
11.07Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
11.01University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.36Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berta Puig | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 11.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Camille McGriff | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 20.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.