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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+8.62vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.77vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.97vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41+2.85vs Predicted
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52.64+1.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.52+0.52vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-1.81vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-3.26vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.75+0.05vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.16vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.91-2.38vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.20-0.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.89vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-2.57vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.17-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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5.77Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.192.640.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.74Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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9.05College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.43Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille McGriff | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Bridget Green | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Berta Puig | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Dana Haig | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 20.7% |
| Emma Snead | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 25.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.