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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.64vs Predicted
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32.64+3.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.23vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.41+1.97vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69-0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.87vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.52-1.50vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.20+1.90vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91-1.36vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.28vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.83vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.75-5.96vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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4.64Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.062.640.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.94Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.69Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 18.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 26.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 22.2% |
| Grace Squires | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Camille McGriff | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.