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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.18vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+5.59vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.52+3.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.17+7.05vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.41+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.16vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+2.09vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-1.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.13vs Predicted
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102.64-3.77vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-1.06vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-8.00vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-3.96vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-6.35vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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6.03Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.232.640.1%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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5.0Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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11.66Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 21.0% |
| Berta Puig | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Bridget Green | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Dana Haig | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.