← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.92+4.17vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.52+4.41vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.07+1.74vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.10vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.41+2.05vs Predicted
-
62.64+0.16vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.69-1.05vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.05vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.27vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.17+1.20vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-1.09vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston1.75-2.55vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University0.95-2.16vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.57-5.25vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.91-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.17Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
6.41Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
-
4.74Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
8.1University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.05Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.162.640.1%1st Place
-
5.95Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
11.2University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
-
9.45College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
11.84Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
9.75Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
8.58University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Berta Puig | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Dana Haig | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Green | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
| Camille McGriff | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% |
| Grace Squires | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 32.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.