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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.20vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.89vs Predicted
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32.64+3.03vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.91+3.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.17+5.13vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+2.81vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.09vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-3.93vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-6.08vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-1.94vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.52-7.21vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.95-3.35vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.75-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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6.032.640.1%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.69University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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9.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.07Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.92Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.06Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Dana Haig | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Berta Puig | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 21.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Bridget Green | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.8% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 30.5% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.