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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.74vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+3.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.99vs Predicted
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52.64+1.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.52+0.62vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.11-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.14vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+0.84vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95+0.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.17-1.02vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.17-1.75vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-3.99vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-6.43vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.74Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.02Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.352.640.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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4.73Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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11.69Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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11.25College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
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10.01Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.57University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Dana Haig | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 28.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.