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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.84vs Predicted
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22.64+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.43vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.17+5.10vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.11-3.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.20+2.00vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-3.83vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.91-2.24vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-1.92vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.52-6.09vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.17-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.032.640.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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5.43Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.1College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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4.85Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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11.0Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.17Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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10.08Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.3% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Dana Haig | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 21.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 19.9% |
| Bridget Green | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Camille McGriff | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.