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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.87vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.35vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.11-0.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.20+5.08vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+2.85vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.04vs Predicted
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92.64-2.83vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-0.04vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.17+0.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.52-5.19vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.91-5.07vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.17-3.98vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.91Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.94Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.08Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.172.640.1%1st Place
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9.96Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.09College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.0% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 9.0% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Dana Haig | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 22.9% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 20.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.