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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.52+3.47vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.93vs Predicted
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72.64-0.90vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+1.79vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.17+0.96vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.11-6.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.20-0.94vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-4.20vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-2.62vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.17-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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4.88Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.12.640.1%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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4.85Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.8University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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11.38Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.86College of Charleston1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Dana Haig | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Camille McGriff | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 23.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.