← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.76vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.40+0.81vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.20vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.59-0.29vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.19vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.44-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.76U. S. Naval Academy2.6024.5%1st Place
-
2.81Georgetown University2.4024.4%1st Place
-
2.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5724.2%1st Place
-
3.71Old Dominion University1.5912.1%1st Place
-
4.81Christopher Newport University0.735.3%1st Place
-
4.1George Washington University1.449.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 24.5% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 24.4% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 24.2% | 21.9% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 20.8% | 48.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.