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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+7.97vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+3.64vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+2.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.89+2.79vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.55-0.74vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.49+5.05vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-0.31vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-1.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.85+0.22vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.82vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.85-1.62vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-5.06vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-3.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.64Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.04Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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6.26Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.05SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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8.18Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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12.38University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.67Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 20.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Talia Toland | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 10.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.