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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+3.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.89+5.61vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+1.21vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+1.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+2.92vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.70-1.27vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.73+1.04vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-0.34vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-0.16vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-2.80vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.31vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.85-1.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.46vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.85-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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5.21Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.11Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.92Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.73Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.04George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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13.31SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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12.54Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
| Talia Toland | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 11.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 12.1% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.