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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+4.63vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.89+5.60vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+4.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.34vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89-0.73vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+1.08vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-2.30vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-0.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-3.30vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-0.94vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.73-2.89vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.85-1.66vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.85-2.83vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.19Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.27Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.11George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.33SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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12.64Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Talia Toland | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 11.3% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.4% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.