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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.00vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+3.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+5.70vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+2.35vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+2.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+2.74vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+2.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40-1.36vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+1.71vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.85-0.75vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.73-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.85-2.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-1.61vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-11.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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5.61Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.35Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.95Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.74Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.71Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.29SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 15.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Talia Toland | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 19.5% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 35.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.