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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+7.99vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+3.09vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+3.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.89+4.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+1.61vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+2.69vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+5.56vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86+0.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-0.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-5.04vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.85+0.21vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-7.22vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.60vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-6.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-1.61vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.85-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.09Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.25Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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12.56Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.6Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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5.78Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Talia Toland | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 22.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 36.6% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.