← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.70+4.58vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.34vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.73+6.19vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.40+2.84vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.89+0.07vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.86+2.95vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.55-0.71vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami0.85+3.99vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.91-0.34vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.69-4.29vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.72+1.64vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.89-3.41vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.52-2.97vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.03-5.81vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.85-2.83vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.64vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.58Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
5.34U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
9.19George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.84Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
5.07Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.95Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.29Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
11.99University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
-
8.66Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
5.71Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
12.64Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.59University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
10.03Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.19Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
12.17University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
-
13.36SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
-
14.4University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Talia Toland | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 14.2% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.