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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+4.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+3.00vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+4.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+4.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+1.56vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.55+0.34vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91+1.36vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.49+4.80vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.73+0.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.69vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.89-2.42vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.31vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.85-0.97vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-8.26vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.66vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.31-1.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.0Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.34Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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12.8SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.17George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.34Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 13.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Ella Reinemann | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 6.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 8.4% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 42.9% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 22.3% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.